Welcome to Mars






Jean-François COLONNA
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www.lactamme.polytechnique.fr

CMAP (Centre de Mathématiques APpliquées) UMR CNRS 7641, École polytechnique, Institut Polytechnique de Paris, CNRS, France

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Preliminary Remark: Far be it from me to question the scientific imperative of exploring the planet Mars. This could of course be done through manned missions that are costly, lengthy, and perilous, but it is obvious that humankind is also capable of designing sophisticated robotic missions, as we have already seen for many years.

The study and exploration of Mars can shed light on the formation of the solar system and farther on exoplanets. But discovering that some form of life may have developed there in the distant past would demonstrate that life is not an exceptional phenomenon (though certainly rare) reserved for our Earth. That would amount to a new Copernican revolution!

No, in the few lines that follow, I only wish to explain why I believe that the colonization of Mars by a million settlers, as dreamed of by Elon Musk, is an unachievable and pointless idea...



1-The Planet Mars:

Are we alone in the Universe? This question, still relevant today [01], has long received a negative answer regarding the planet Mars. Thus:



2-Elon Musk, Savior of Humanity?

Often presented as a genius who revolutionized the automobile industry, space travel, and satellite communications, Elon Musk is in fact merely a brilliant opportunist who had the foresight to seize certain promising innovations at the right moment [02].

But aware of the existential threats [03] facing Humanity and powerfully supported by his company SpaceX, he proposes that we become a multiplanetary civilization, beginning by establishing a Martian colony of around one million inhabitants by 2050. But is this realistic?



3-Space Travels:

The colonization of Mars would have to be carried out using rockets such as Starship. But unlike current space voyages, which on the one hand are very short in time and distance [04], a one-way trip to Mars, depending on the departure date, takes at least nine months [05]. On the other hand, they carry highly trained and qualified astronauts, not novices... Here are the prerequisites and the dangers inherent in such ventures:





4-The settlement of Mars:

Large-scale colonization of the planet Mars should obviously be preceded, on the one hand, by automated missions and, on the other hand, by manned missions carried out by astronauts selected for their scientific, physical, and psychological qualities. But it seems clear that this may not be enough to guarantee the success of such missions. Indeed, a round-trip journey would last approximately three years: nine months to get there, one year on the surface, and finally nine months for the return [11]. And despite the astronauts' skills and qualifications, the problems listed in the previous chapter would arise. But another issue must be added: the alterations to the human body during the outbound journey mean that astronauts will arrive on Mars in a notably weakened state. Unlike the return from a stay on the ISS, there will be no one to welcome and assist them. How, then, will they accomplish their missions?

When it comes to large-scale colonization, this time it will not involve a dozen seasoned and experienced astronauts, but one million volunteers [12], and it is obvious that the problems mentioned previously will only be magnified:



5-It's Party Time!



The Settlement of Mars ('The New World Symphony')
.








The Settlement of Mars ('Children's Corner')
.




And after?



In conclusion, these two images of anticipated reality clearly show how the idea of colonizing Mars in the very near future is both foolish and ridiculous!







Copyright © Jean-François COLONNA, 2025-2025.
Copyright © CMAP (Centre de Mathématiques APpliquées) UMR CNRS 7641 / École polytechnique, Institut Polytechnique de Paris, 2025-2025.